Exeter Chiefs V Newcastle Falcons on 2025/10/04, 38.0 to 15.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Exeter Chiefs to win by 10.82, and Exeter Chiefs won by 23.0. That’s an absolute error of 12.2 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 16.6 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 50.1% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 54.5 and we have an actual total of 53.0. That’s an absolute error of 1.5 compared to a six month average of 13.7. This prediction was more accurate than 92.6% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model